Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 21.505523 24.417164 27.590949 31.309514 35.549933 40.238276 45.819893
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 17.172632 20.925840 25.322660 30.861864 37.666513 45.769017 56.173834
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 13.919361 18.071023 23.259845 30.239628 39.413091 51.100113 67.186787
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 11.703662 16.122133 21.989785 30.385424 42.147833 58.127204 81.630247
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 10.078657 14.683145 21.159239 30.986046 45.619956 66.763269 99.914895
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 8.641516 13.271161 20.145241 31.173316 48.578288 75.249516 119.716681
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.724418 12.476780 19.909399 32.490519 53.493256 87.568687 147.885035
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.759877 11.448657 19.149143 32.861051 57.002749 98.357231 175.868595
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.759375 10.195380 17.821460 32.062445 58.424793 105.962386 200.037470
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.008082 9.246899 16.858760 31.735619 60.633811 115.387367 229.592374
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.578974 8.809146 16.735991 32.935883 65.930050 131.571020 275.804784
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.250491 8.506750 16.816513 34.548083 72.358703 151.238976 333.608283
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.814102 7.936368 16.317061 34.980935 76.636481 167.746260 389.384239
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.302346 7.126136 15.200349 33.918354 77.528441 177.271685 431.908813
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.864572 6.400609 14.143614 32.800678 78.107785 186.309226 475.791470
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.559471 5.917877 13.539513 32.617206 80.883545 201.199716 538.462041
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.331035 5.572770 13.191356 32.987553 85.131458 220.725544 618.773110
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.107538 5.201544 12.719807 32.967266 88.404356 238.550174 699.424197
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.976339 5.035613 12.722237 34.180824 95.268508 267.657509 821.270229
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.810883 4.754162 12.385585 34.424763 99.519663 290.511864 930.807949
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.612601 4.352787 11.668297 33.473110 100.129786 302.965161 1010.977961
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.460196 4.050053 11.165235 33.041867 102.223692 320.460202 1113.316401
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.383522 3.946204 11.197590 34.219307 109.620615 356.525084 1291.643576